Washington DC

US President Donald Trump is considering winding down the American military campaign against Iran within the next four to six weeks, even if the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed, according to reports.

Citing officials, The Wall Street Journal said Trump has conveyed to aides that the United States may declare success after achieving key military objectives, including weakening Iran’s naval and missile capabilities, without pursuing a prolonged effort to reopen the maritime route.

Such a move could leave Iran with continued control over the strait, shifting the focus from military operations to diplomatic negotiations aimed at restoring normal shipping activity.

The Strait of Hormuz is a crucial global energy artery, with a large share of oil shipments—around 84 per cent—heading toward Asian markets. Trump has reportedly downplayed the impact on the US, arguing that disruptions primarily affect Asia and Europe, given America’s reduced reliance on Middle Eastern energy.

However, the partial blockade has already triggered significant global consequences. Oil prices have surged past $100 per barrel, raising concerns over supply shortages, including fertilisers and other essential goods.

While options such as escorting oil tankers or launching a multinational mission to reopen the strait remain on the table, they are not immediate priorities for the administration.

Despite signals of a possible de-escalation, the US military presence in the region continues to expand. The USS Tripoli, along with the 31st Marine Expeditionary Unit, has been deployed, and additional troop deployments—including elements of the 82nd Airborne—are under consideration.

Trump’s messaging has been mixed, at times threatening strikes on Iran’s civilian energy infrastructure if the strait is not reopened, while also describing the conflict in lighter terms.

Meanwhile, the White House has attributed recent movement of oil tankers through the strait to ongoing diplomatic engagement between Washington and Tehran. Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt said that the passage of multiple tankers was a result of both direct and indirect talks led by the US administration.

Trump also claimed that Iran had allowed 20 tankers to pass through the strait as a “sign of respect,” calling it a positive development.

On the other side, Iran has moved to formalise its control over the waterway. According to Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting, the country’s parliament has approved a new management plan for the strait. The proposal includes imposing tolls on vessels, banning American and Israeli ships, and restricting access for nations enforcing unilateral sanctions against Iran.

The plan also outlines cooperation with Oman on regulatory mechanisms, as well as measures related to security, environmental protection, and maritime safety.

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The developments come as the West Asia conflict between Iran and the US-Israel alliance enters its second month, with the future of one of the world’s most critical oil transit routes hanging in the balance.